Buttonwood Investment Policy Committee Update – January 2021

2020, to say the least, was a tumultuous year on many fronts. With the election cycle behind us, a new administration in place and a light at the end of the Covid tunnel, our base case assumes 2021 will be prone to the fits and starts of the early cycle stages, yet overall be a smoother year in terms of investment markets and life in general.

2021 Strategy: A Tactical Pivot

Over the years we have opined our preference to hold more actively managed funds in later-stage economic cycles and more passive funds in early-stage economic cycles. While we don’t yet have the data to know if we are officially out of recession, we believe 2020 was the turning point from late-stage cycle to early-stage and as such we are beginning the transition from mostly active to more passive funds and ETFs.

We plan to maintain exposure to active managers in asset classes where we believe those managers can add value over their passively managed peers: Emerging markets, small cap and alternative markets. We are also taking steps to reduce exposure to low return assets such as cash and short term bonds, and increase exposure to tactical positions that align with early market cycle return expectations.

Throughout Buttonwood’s history as an independent firm, we have been fortunate to have ongoing dialog about investment strategy with some of the best minds in our industry; JP Morgan, Vanguard, BlackRock and many others. We believe the breadth of knowledge we have derived from these relationships has helped us successfully develop and deliver our strategy.

In an ever-evolving and more complex investment universe, we will continue to leverage our partnerships with the intent to increase our efficiency and nimbleness as an Investment Policy Committee. We plan to continue to utilize powerful technology platforms to analyze investments, evaluate risk exposures and manage allocations.

And as we move forward into what we believe is the start of a new economic cycle, we plan to continue our shift toward additional targeted risk exposures, through both sector and factor specific strategies, we believe we can better take advantage of changing market conditions and ultimately continue to produce the coveted outcome of a more consistent rate of return over full economic cycles.

Today, our base case is built around an equally divided, gridlocked government providing opportunity for continued stock market growth. We believe this growth is likely to be propelled by a dovish Fed, additional stimulus as well as a delay in tax increases and/or significant policy changes until Covid is materially addressed.

As the vaccine rollout continues and restrictions on public events and travel lessen in 2021, we believe there is an opportunistic tailwind for economic expansion. We also believe Environmental Social & Governance (ESG) investing will likely come into favor under the current administration and we will plan to add exposure in this area.

Risks abound

We consider both sides of many arguments when determining our base case for investment allocation. While our base remains optimistic, as always, there are a number of potential challenges our economy and the markets must overcome. Covid cases show no sign of slowing and many comments focused around market ‘bubbles’ exist. It is true that valuations are high and if future earnings don’t live up to current expectations, there is a real possibility for a downturn in the markets.

Unemployment remains an issue and the likelihood of ‘mom & pop’ shops/restaurants returning to a prospering condition are unknown. Additional stimulus could also have longer-term unforeseen effects on the economy as tax rates will almost assuredly increase to help reduce the national debt.

You can expect ongoing reports of our positioning and should you have specific questions about our strategy, please let us know and we will make sure to review details at our next meeting. And while we don’t recommend fixating on short term market fluctuations, if you would like to check specific performance of your investments across all your accounts, our Buttonwood Portal is available 24/7. Or you can contact us and we can provide reports specific to your questions and financial life.

Thank you for your continued trust and allowing us to serve as your Family CFO!

Recent Buttonwood Articles


Investmen
By Dale Raimann January 7, 2026
As we closed out 2025, our Investment Policy Committee (IPC) continued its work to refine strategies that balance risk, liquidity, and long-term growth. In our previous update , we shared how the inflation shock of 2022 reshaped our approach to fixed income and led to a more nimble, systematic positioning of bond assets. That proactive discipline remains a cornerstone of our investment process. As we wrapped up 2025, our Investment Policy Committee (IPC) continues efforts to refine strategies that balance risk, liquidity, and long-term growth. With the Fed reducing overnight lending rates for the third time, recent IPC discussions have turned to another critical focus area: cash management. Why Cash Strategy Matters Now With interest rates still elevated and market uncertainty persisting, many investors hold larger-than-usual cash positions. While cash provides stability, it also introduces opportunity cost if left idle. One of our IPC objectives is to ensure that excess cash works harder for you, without compromising liquidity for emergencies or near-term cash needs. Refining Our Cash Allocation Policy For our clients with larger cash needs (generally more than 5% or $50k of liquid assets in cash or money market funds), we are shifting to a proactive T-Bill management strategy, or other suitable investments based on goals and circumstances. For our clients holding less than $50k in cash or money market, we have retained money market for liquidity, but we have made a switch to the default money market fund we are using. Risk and Tax Aware Money Market Selection While yields are similar across money markets today, the underlying investments in each money market fund vary quite a bit. For example, Schwab Prime Money Market (ticker SWVXX) offers a slightly higher yield but invests in asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP), introducing a modest credit risk. In contrast, Schwab Government Money Market (ticker SNVXX), invests primarily in U.S. Treasuries and government-backed securities, making it virtually risk-free and often state income tax-advantaged. With lower risk and only about 10/100’s of 1% yield difference, our IPC has proactively transitioned clients from SWVXX to SNVXX, to prioritize safety and tax efficiency over a marginal yield difference. Connecting Back to Our Broader Strategy These cash management refinements build on the fixed income strategy we recently outlined. By reducing exposure to inflation-sensitive bonds and implementing a more systematic approach, we are positioning portfolios to be more resilient across potentially weaker or higher-rate environments. Optimizing cash allocations and minimizing credit risk within money markets reinforces the same core principle—protecting downside risk while prudently capturing incremental return opportunities. Looking Ahead As we enter 2026, our investment approach remains focused and disciplined. We continue to prioritize liquidity for cash needs, thoughtful risk management, and systematic investment strategies designed to adapt to evolving market and economic conditions. This proactive framework supports long-term portfolio resilience while remaining aligned with your financial objectives. If you have questions about how these updates may impact your investments, cash management, or overall financial plan, we encourage you to connect with your financial advisor at Buttonwood. Our team is committed to delivering personalized wealth management and asset allocation strategies—regardless of market or economic uncertainty. Thank you for your continued trust and for allowing us to coordinate your asset management as part of our Family CFO services.
How to Talk About Money with Family Over the Holidays
December 23, 2025
How to Talk About Money with Family Over the Holidays. Whether your family is just beginning to plan or has been navigating financial decisions across generations
December 12, 2025
As year-end approaches, many clients focus on charitable giving—supporting causes they care about while optimizing their tax strategy. This year carries added urgency: the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) will significantly change charitable giving rules in 2026.
Buttonwood Investment Policy Committee Update
By Jon McGraw November 24, 2025
Maintain diversification as one of our risk management tools, focusing on our high-conviction ideas that tie with where we feel we are in the economic cycle.
Buttonwood Investment Policy Committee Update
By Kyle Hogan September 26, 2025
Our Investment Policy Committee (IPC) remains focused on balancing opportunity with discipline as markets continue to react to shifting economic and geopolitical dynamics. Following a volatile start to the year, recent developments have created a more constructive environment for risk assets, though caution remains war
Inside the Capitol Building, where the
By Jon McGraw July 21, 2025
On July 4, 2025, President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law. Learn what that means for business owners.

Are you ready to explore the benefits of your very own Family CFO?

LET'S TALK

Buttonwood Services


About Buttonwood Financial Group